Just eight weeks in the past that the young forward stood on the Stadium of Light pitch, appearing bewildered as Unai Emery admonished him over missing a penetrating pass. During that period, with the team endured a six-game winless run, the question was if his performances were an indicator or the source for the team's broader struggles.
“When Rogers netted his second… Emery tore off his coat, threw his arms wide, and bellowed in delight.”
In the latest match, in contrast, the touchline reaction was much more joyous. When the England international drilled in his second to restore Villa's lead, the Spanish tactician ripped off his jacket, opened his arms and roared. Villa were on their way to a 10th successive win and after failing to win any of their first six games, are somehow a mere three points off pace-setters Arsenal.
Is This Team Genuine Hopefuls?
This is a particularly tough proposition to address. The historical record, a general sense of Villa, indicates otherwise. Additionally, they have not been entirely convincing this season, even as the victories have stacked up.
According to statistical analysis, on just two occasions has the side had an xG notably superior than the other team. For a club which has put together ten consecutive victories, they look weirdly vulnerable – yet currently the margins are going in their favour.
The Rogers Recipe
The prevailing tactic appears to be to exchange chances with the opposition and then rely on Rogers to rescue them with two crisp finishes. This was the case against Leeds, it occurred in London, and again when facing United.
His opener came from a superb shot, curled just inside the post from a wide position. The follow-up goal proved to be a slight scruffier version of the opener as he seized on a pass from Watkins.
“Perhaps Rogers’ right foot is becoming like Arjen Robben’s left: just because you know he’s going to whip the ball into the top corner doesn’t mean you can stop him.”
How Long Can This Continue?
Common sense dictates no. During the latest victory, the opponents had more shots and more direct attempts. Villa have won each of their last eight by the narrowest of margins. The defence has been breached in all but one of those games.
A statistical correction may well be the most significant challenge Villa have to face as the season progresses. The forward, in all likelihood, cannot maintain blasting his shots past despairing goalkeepers indefinitely.
Potential for Growth
Maybe there exists a different scenario whereby, rather than results trending towards performances, the level of play rises to match the results. Key players may yet find their top level.
- Ollie Watkins might resume scoring again.
- Jadon Sancho could transform into the player he showed at Borussia Dortmund.
- Tyrone Mings and Pau Torres are set to come back from the treatment room, bolstering a periodically leaky defensive unit.
This could contain the possibility of a title challenge, but they surely can persist in leaning entirely on Morgan Rogers.
Enjoying the Ride
Yet, this is a surprise. Few believed Villa would occupy in the top three for the holidays. And without a doubt two months ago, few could imagine the young forward now would be leading a hunt for the title while establishing himself as an essential player for the national team.
The current run should be enjoyed precisely because it seems so surreal. When Rogers positioned himself before the North End at the final whistle leading the celebrations, he seemed to be loving the experience. A feeling he has rightly earned. These spells are uncommon in the sport and ought to be celebrated.
